Monday, Apr. 15, 1940

Trend

Harvard History Professor Arthur M. Schlesinger, pondering the moony tides of U. S. politics, last winter came to a conclusion that sent a little wave of gloom through U. S. conservatives. His conclusion: that the revolt against conservatism which began in 1931 will last until 1947-48. His qualification: this does not necessarily mean Term III, or even continuance of the Democrats in power; but rather that, no matter who is in office, the "political mood known loosely as New Dealism will govern the conduct of the Government."

On the other hand, Dr. George Gallup's pollsters by last week had piled up evidence in State after State of a steady decline in the Democratic fortunes, a decline so profound as to give every prospect of a clear Republican victory in November. The shift toward the G. O. P. was now so marked that nothing short of a Rooseveltian miracle, it appeared to poll-parrots, could save the election for the Democrats.

Studying these reports, and noting nothing in any major Republican candidate that could be construed as New Dealism, observers wondered whether it was Professor Schlesinger who was moonstruck, or Dr. Gallup.

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