Last Predictions

Many a pollster, politico, politico-ed last week looked long into a crystal globe, previewed the results of the Presidential election. Some prognostications: Edward J. Flynn: "Franklin D. Roosevelt . . . with a minimum of 427 electoral votes. . . . We allow [Willkie] a maximum of nine States -- an aggregate of 58 votes." Joseph W. Martin Jr.: "Willkie and McNary will receive a minimum of 324 electoral votes ... the Republicans will capture at least 60 additional seats in the House. . . ." Pathfinder Poll (owner: Emil Hurja): "Willkie victory with 353 electoral votes ... he may get as many as 385. . . ." Joseph Dunninger (spiritualist investigator) : "Thomas Jefferson thinks Roosevelt is as good as in. McKinley says it's Willkie." Arthur Sears Henning (Chicago Tribune): "For Willkie, 280; for Roosevelt, 182; doubtful, 69." Wall Poll: "Roosevelt will win the popular vote, but . . . Willkie may win a majority in the electoral college." Senator George W. Norris: "If President Roosevelt is not reelected, Mr. Willkie will be elected." Gallup Poll: Roosevelt: 21 sure States (198 electoral votes), nine States leaning to him. Willkie: eight sure States (59 electoral votes), ten States leaning to him.

Popular vote: Roosevelt, 52%; Willkie, 48%. No prediction of the winner, but the trend continuing to Willkie.

Fortune Poll: Roosevelt: 55.2% of voters who had made up their minds but with Roosevelt votes so concentrated that he had big majorities only in the West South Central, East South Central and South Atlantic States, a tiny margin on the Pacific Coast. Willkie: all other sections of the U. S., mostly by margins too small to be conclusive.

Dunn Survey: Willkie: 29 States (364 electoral votes); Roosevelt: eleven States

(124 electoral votes); eight States (43 electoral votes) unsurveyed for lack of funds.

New York Daily News Poll: "Franklin D. Roosevelt will win New York State's 47 electoral votes by a plurality ... so small that the race is a foto finish. . . ."

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