Friday, Jun. 12, 1964

CALLING THE ROLL OF DELEGATES

"I do not have this thing sewed up," said Barry Goldwater after his California victory. Perhaps not--but with the Republican Convention in San Francisco just a month away, Goldwater needs only a few more stitches to tie together the 655 votes needed for the presidential nomination. The probable first-ballot roll call of delegates, as reported by TIME correspondents in all 50 states:

Alabama (20 votes): Goldwater is sure of all 20.

Alaska (12): Give Goldwater a goose egg here, though he could wind up with 2 or 3 of the undecided delegates. There are 6 for Rockefeller, 1 apiece for Lodge, Nixon and Scranton, 3 undecided.

Arizona (16): For the native son.

Arkansas (12): G.O.P. National Committeeman Winthrop Rockefeller may get them all on the first ballot as a favorite son, but if Goldwater really needs them, he can call on 8.

California (86): All Barry's.

Colorado (18): Goldwater has 14 going for him; the rest remain uncommitted.

Connecticut (16): Not yet chosen, though Barry may get at least 2. Rest split among Nixon, Rockefeller and Scranton.

Delaware (12): There may be a first-ballot holding action with all votes going to Senator John J. Williams as favorite son. If not, count 5 for Goldwater, 4 for Scranton, 2 for Nixon, 1 undecided.

Florida (34): Barry may get 21 votes, but put him down for 13 sure ones. As for the rest, 3 are leaning toward Nixon, 18 aren't quite sure which way to jump.

Georgia (24): All but 2 are instructed for Goldwater, and those 2 lean heavily toward him. Make it 24 for Barry.

Hawaii (8): Goldwater likely to get 4, while 4 are undecided or leaning toward more moderate candidates.

Idaho (14): This week's state convention vote should yield 14 for Goldwater.

Illinois (58): Primary Winner Goldwater has bedrock strength of 39, with another 6 leaning heavily toward him. Rockefeller gets 1; the rest are uncommitted.

Indiana (32): Barry's primary victory gives him all 32 on the first ballot.

Iowa (24): Goldwater should get at least 8 here, with another 2 leaning to him but not yet certain. Scranton can count on 5 votes, with 1 leaning to him. The other 8 are undecided.

Kansas (20): A solid dozen for Barry, with anti-Goldwater Governor John Anderson controlling the other 8.

Kentucky (24): Senator Thruston Morton was thinking of entering the convention as a favorite son, but decided against it, so Barry should pick up 13 here. The rest are uncommitted.

Louisiana (20): All Goldwater's.

Maine (14): Favorite Daughter

Margaret Chase Smith gets all on the first ballot. After that, it will split every which way, with at least 2 for Goldwater.

Maryland (20): Barry has 3 solid votes, with 7 leaning toward Rocky. The others don't know or won't say.

Massachusetts (34): Lodge should get 29 on the first ballot, with 5 for Goldwater.

Michigan (48): If Governor George Romney goes in as a favorite son, he will pick up 42 to 46 first-ballot votes with 2 for Goldwater. If Romney frees the delegation on the first ballot, Barry should get at least 15.

Minnesota (26): With 10 delegates yet to be picked, Goldwater already has 6 pledged to him. Another 4 are behind U.S. Congressman Walter Judd, a favorite son; 6 are undecided.

Mississippi (13): All Goldwater.

Missouri (24): Barry has 16 likely votes, with 4 uncommitted, 4 yet to be chosen at this week's state convention.

Montana (14): Goldwater has 12, Nixon may get the other 2.

Nebraska (16): Goldwater picked up all 10 delegates at last week's state convention, to go along with the 5 he won in May's primary. The other one leans to Lodge.

Nevada (6): All for Barry.

New Hampshire (14): Primary Winner Lodge gets all on the first ballot.

New Jersey (40): After California, at least 9 jumped on the Goldwater bandwagon. The rest will head for San Francisco uncommitted, hopeful of playing kingmaker.

New Mexico (14): Rockefeller picked off 4 stragglers, but Goldwater has 10.

New York (92): Native Son Rockefeller did well in last week's balloting for delegates, is certain of 86. Goldwater has at least 2. The remaining 4 are uncommitted but could very well go for Goldwater. Make it only 2 for Barry anyway.

North Carolina (26): Barry has 25 sure votes, may get the 26th.

North Dakota (14): Goldwater has a fairly solid 9, perhaps 11. Scranton has 2, Nixon 1.

Ohio (58): All should go to Favorite Son Governor James Rhodes on first ballot. If Rhodes releases his dele gation during the first ballot, Goldwater stands to get at least half of Ohio's votes.

Oklahoma (22): In Barry's pocket.

Oregon (18): Rocky gets all, at least on the first ballot.

Pennsylvania (64): Favorite Son Scranton gets 62 on the first ballot, with 2 for Goldwater. Anywhere from 6 to 12 others should go for Barry after the first ballot.

Rhode Island (14): Governor John Chafee announced for Scranton last week, and all 14 are likely to follow his lead on the first vote. Though Barry could pick up 2 after that, give him a first-ballot blank in the smallest state.

South Carolina (16): Sold on Barry.

South Dakota (14): An uncommitted slate of delegates beat a Goldwater slate in last week's primary, but at least 6 of them aim to vote for Barry anyway, with 2 for Nixon, 6 undecided but probably pro-Goldwater.

Tennessee (28): Barry has bedrock support from 22, with 3 more leaning toward him, and 3 uncommitted.

Texas (56): Pure Goldwater.

Utah (14): Barry seems sure of 9, with 3 leaning to Lodge, 1 to Nixon, 1 undecided.

Vermont (12): Way northeast of Goldwater country, Barry gets 6 delegates, with 2 for Rocky, 1 for Smith, 1 for Scranton, 2 uncommitted.

Virginia (30): Of 18 delegates already chosen, Barry is certain of 17, the other is leaning heavily toward him. Count him for 14, though he will likely end up with 29 or all 30.

Washington (24): At least 22 for Goldwater. If Barry looks like a winner by the time Washington gets to vote, all 24 may hop aboard his band wagon.

West Virginia (14): Goldwater has 4 solid votes, may get as many as 10. Rocky has 2, with 2 uncommitted.

Wisconsin (30): A first-round courtesy vote for Favorite Son Congressman John Byrnes is in the cards, but a Goldwater stampede could persuade at least 15 delegates to go for Barry on the first ballot.

Wyoming (12): All Goldwater.

District of Columbia (9): Rockefeller should get 5, Goldwater 4.

Puerto Rico (5): All Rockefeller's.

Virgin Islands (3): The works for Rocky.

Thus, by the most conservative possible reckoning, giving Goldwater only those votes committed to him or leaning strongly toward him, he has a minimum of 648 first-ballot votes, with plenty of reserve strength in such states as Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. His rivals trail so far behind as to be almost out of sight: Rockefeller with 139 votes, Scranton with 86, Lodge with 48, Nixon with perhaps a dozen.

This file is automatically generated by a robot program, so reader's discretion is required.